Currencies & Forex

US Dollar Index Planning Breakout From Secular Resistance Levels?

  • us-dollar-symbolThe secular bear market for the US Dollar Index concluded towards the end of 3Q-2015. At this juncture, a new bullish trend was initiated.
  • Since the 2Q-2015 to present date, the dollar has been consolidating and confronted with the challenge of surmounting a triple-top.
  • If it breaks above this level, ¬†which it probably will, given expectations for the Fed to normalize monetary policy (i.e. raise interest rates) while other G8 central banks lag and a stable economic environment providing a foundation upon which President-elect Donald Trump may launch fiscal and regulatory stimulus policies, the dollar could trade to 102 or even 110 resistance levels.
  • Of course, an occurrence of the above scenario would have some ripple effects upon other capital markets, not to mention currencies, which I shall be discussing in future publications of View From the Hill’s ETF Capital Markets reports.
  • In summary and until further notice, my long-term bias towards the US Dollar remains bullish.

(see 20-year monthly chart below for technical analysis of US Dollar Index secular trend)


US Dollar Index
Click to enlarge




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